FC Koln host relegation threatened Fortuna Dusseldorf at home in the late game on Sunday. Koln are a side who are currently 11th in the league but in reality they are probably a side who are the 7th best team in the Bundesliga. Fortuna Dusseldorf are a side who have been very poor away from home this season and in both the real table and the expected goals table they are a bottom 3 side, in fact probably the 2nd worst the in the league actually. They have by some way the worst expected goals against tally in the league coming out with close to 56 goals that they should have conceded measuring the quality of the chances they have conceded. Conceding those type of chances it is difficult to get anything out of a match, Koln had Mainz beaten last week being 2-0 up and let the lead slip with Mainz coming back to draw 2-2. the expected goals read 2.76 v 1.97 in favour of Koln. The team news favours Koln too with Fortuna having Ayhan is suspended while regular keeper Steffen is still out injured, Tekeptey is a doubt but he would only probably feature from the bench if fit. Considering Koln started a shorter price against a better team last week that they should have won (1.84) surely they are worth a bet at the current odds which are 1.86.
Koln -0.5 min odds 1.82