Leverkusen are value as underdogs here, they ran Atletico close in the previous match in Madrid, the expected goals only give Atletico a expected goals tally of 0.89 v Leverkusen’s 0.59. Teams news feels very neutral for the game although key centre back Jose Gimenez remains out for the Atletico. Atletico have only won 2 of their last 10 matches in the champions league and they’re away form in the La Liga has not been too hot either. I think going on the display in the last match a case can be made for Levekusen being favourites not by much but favourites all the same and i make them value on the draw no bet line.
