The more I look at this match the more I fancy Wolfsburg on the handicap betting of +0.75, Wolfsburg is the 6th best team in the league and if you look at the expected goals table Borussia Dortmund are only the 3rd best side level with Gladbach in 4th. Dortmund is super clinical but clinical to a level which is impossible to keep up to, they have scored 20 more goals than they would have expected to take the quality of their chances created into consideration. They have been beaten 4 times on the road this season, losing to Bayern, Leverkusen, Hoffenheim and lowly Union Berlin, they have also dropped points away to Frankfurt, Freiburg and Schalke so they are vulnerable. Haland has improved them but they go into this match with doubts over so many players namely Sancho while fellow forward Reus is out with a thigh injury. Dortmund midfielder Emre Can is just back from Injury while his regular midfield partner Witsel is still recovering from injury as is the case with defender Zagadou. There is also an argument that Sancho may not be risked for the full game with Bayern coming up midweek and if that is the case that could be a massive boost for Wolfsburg. I think Wolfsburg is the value here I think Dortmund, as mentioned above, are vulnerable away from home and I think +0.75 is worth a bet on the home side.
Bundesliga: Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Odds for May 23, 2020
