I am betting Koln here, they are pretty much safe but face a Union Berlin side who have looked very poor since the resumption, yes Union Berlin have maybe a little more motivation but they face a Koln side who are in reality a top-half side even if the league table does not represent it. They are 8th best team in the league and this is backed up by looking at the expected goals table which shows Koln should have had an extra 5 points on their actual points tally. The team news is in Koln favour too, Andrich is suspended this week for Union while Becker, Polter, Ryerson are all out injured and Lanz is a doubt. I think -0.25 is worth a go and a win will confirm their place in the Bundesliga again for next season.