Manchester United v Liverpool

Liverpool travel to old trafford in the match of the round in the Premier League and in reality they have very litle to fear from the game. United have been playing like a side who are probably just about above average and no where near a side who on paper could be argued to be the 2nd best side in the league.

Looking at the new football metric Expected goals, it shows us they are approx 13 points more than they should have, players like Pogba are a shadow of how they were playing only a matter of weeks ago. Liverpool on the other hand are in flying form, they will be able to name a full strength side too and as well as that they have an impressive stats of only losing 2 of their last 21 league matches against top 6 sides.

I make Liverpool a bet on the draw no bet line min odds 1.92, they are simply a better side than United.

Liverpool 0 Min Odds 1.92

Everton v Brighton

Brighton must be close to an automatic bet this weekend against a dire Everton team, since the round of games on the 26th of December they have won just twice and last weekend’s match v Burnely had to be seen to be believed, they carry very little attacking threat and are terrible defensively and as a favourite they need to be opposed.

Brighton are close to staying in the division but in their last 6 matches they have to play both Manchester clubs, Liverpool and Spurs, so they will want to be safe before going into those games and thus they will be highlighting this game as a fixture they can get something out of. They are a better organised, balanced and motivated side than Everton and i’m going for Brighton +0.25 at min odds 2.04 to get something from the game and keep them moving up the table.

Brighton +0.25 Min odds 2.04

Huddersfield v Swansea

Swansea had an impressive result last weekend when they beat West Ham 4-1 but West Ham are in terrible form currently and they are a side i will oppose this week v Burnley. The Swans are missing midfielder Fer and full back Rangel as well as that Huddersfield key player is back (Aaron Mooy) which is a massive boost for the club.

Huddersfield will be targeting this fixture as a match they can take maximum points out of, they have taken 19 points from the 30 available this season and against a Swans side who are in very good form but the bulk of those points have been won at home, this will be more difficult on the road. Swansea in fact have conceded 12 goals in the last 5 away games and i fancy Huddersfield to at least take a point in this vital game, so will take Huddersfield on the draw no bet line.

Huddersfield 0 1.74

West Ham v Burnley

West ham defensively are in tatters, they conceded 4 goals against a Swansea side who have hardly had 4 shots on target in a single match all season never mind 4 goals in a game. Their key defender Winston Reid is out injured and he is such a massive loss to them, Collins and Rice have looked poor this season playing at the back for West Ham and both full backs are ageing players and look vulnerable to the likes of Lennon and Gudmundsson’s speed. West Ham are having to give up +0.25 of a goal and i think that is too much when you can now get Burnley at evens +0.25.

Burnley should have a freedom to go out and enjoy their football as they try and chase down Arsenal, while West Ham will have serious pressure on them to get a result having lost of of their last 4. The West Ham camp does not appear to be a happy one and i am taking Burnley +0.25 @ 2.00

Burnley +0.25 Mon Odds 2.00