I am betting Northern Ireland and the Under 2.75 goals here, I think the North can keep things tight, they are traditionally a well organised side and they play an Italian side who will be happy to take a win and move on to the next match when they travel to Bulgaria. None of Italy’s competitive matches in 2020 saw them win by more than 2 goals and none of them saw more than 2 goals in them. I think +2 on Northern Ireland is a fair line with best odds 1.96 currently and Under 2.75 is trading at 1.89 and I believe both those odds will be shorter at kick off time so I make them a value bet now.