England vs Italy
I am betting Italy here +0.25 and over 2 goals, England are rightly favourites for this match but Italy +0.25 at 1.80 or better is value, Italy have looked very good bar their match v Spain where Spain dominated the ball, England won’t be able to do that today like Spain did in the first Semi final and it will mean Italy will probably have more of the ball tonight and we have seen when they have more of the ball, they create chances. England have only conceded 1 goal in the tournament so far that was a free kick v Denmark but i still think defensively they are little suspect, we seen in their semi-final the Danes created big holes in the English defense with their movement but they were not good enough to create chances, Italy certainly can. I firmly believe Italy can get at them tonight and to be fair you could have questions tonight in regard to the Italians defensively too, they will be up against very quick attackers with Sterling and probably Saka and England who had 21 shots against Denmark should cause Italy problems and I believe this brings the over goals into play. It is a fascinating match and i can see the game going to extra time. I don’t usually bet the underdog and over goals but the goal line is so small it is a bet all day long for me and currently is 2.08 which offers a lot of value.