Wolves vs Newcastle Utd.
I am betting over 2.5 goals here, I think the line is way too big given the mad way Newcastle have started to play this season, they are so expansive and open they are simply a joy to watch and their games resemble more like basketball games than football matches. Their last 2 matches have gone under but if you bet the overs in either of these 2 games you would have been considering yourself very unlucky given the amount of chances the teams created in those games. They face a Wolves side themselves who have been very unlucky not to score more goals, in fact according to the expected goals charts they should have scored an extra 6 goals and conceded an extra 2. I think the market lags behind what is happening in Newcastle’s matches and with Steve Bruce’s team now so different compared to previous sides he was in charge it is only natural that the market takes a little longer to catch up and this is why I make the over 2.5 goals value