I am betting Sheffield United here and the under 2.5 goals, Southampton are the side that has overachieved the most this season in the Premier league while Sheffield United are the side who have underachieved the most according to the expected goals table. Sheffield United should have about 10 points while Southampton should have only about 13 points. Sheffield United should have taken a point last week v Leicester City but conceded late and while they are short of confidence the gap between both teams is not as big as the normal league table may suggest or even the betting market does either. I think Sheffield United will come and play for a point and I think that bring the under 2.5 goals into play as well so betting both the underdog +0.75 and the under 2.5 goals.