Southampton vs Manchester City
I am betting Southampton +1.75, this should be a decent match and even with the Saints missing their keeper in McCarthy i make them value here against this City side. I do think City have not been as impressive recently as they were and it does give Southampton a very small squeak against them to cause an upset. For me +1.75 for a decent Saints team at home does feel value, they have to get beaten by 3 for us to lose our full stake and that is a big margin and as we have seen City have been happy just to take 3 points and move on without racking up a lot of goals.