I am betting unders here in this match, City just is not creating the big chances they created last season or really any season under Pep Guardiola. They have scored only 10 goals in 8 matches this season but even on the xG table they are not that unlucky with their expected goals only reaching 12.41 for the season which is only 10th best in the league, City under Pep have always been well clear of their rivals on the expected goals table bar this season, I believe there is something wrong with their attack and I believe it is their movement up top as well as losing David Silva, the little Spaniard was excellent at spotting a pass. Burnley will come and defend and really try not to inflict too much damage on their goal difference and I think we are looking at a bet on the under 3.25 goals here today.
