Leicester City vs Everton
I can’t have Everton as favorites away to Leicester City, yes Leicester will probably rotate their team after Thursday night’s Europa conference match in Rome and yes that is a very big negative and yes Everton has more motivation but saying all that I can’t have Leicester at home to Everton as outsiders for this match. They face an Everton side who have won just once away from home all season and only have 6 points on their travels in total. Leicester played well last week away to Spurs and easily could have gone away with a point and that was after a European match too. Leicester are a clear bet at the odds I think the betting markets have overreacted to last week’s Everton win versus Chelsea. I am also betting the under goals, Yes Leicester are a very open side at times but Everton have improved for a defensive approach in matches of late and I can’t see them moving away from this approach today, they have players who they believe can grab a goal and they will probably rely on this tactic to take some away from today’s match but I also believe it means there is value on the under in what should be a tight match.