Everton host a Saints side who somehow beat Manchester City on Sunday despite only having 26% possession during the match, the expected goals charts read 0.63 v 3.4 in favour of Man City, hardly surprising considering City had 26 shots compared to Southampton‘s 8. Those stats will tell you how lucky Southampton was to win and it is a game that will have taken a lot out of an already stretched squad. Both sides are missing players but the Saints will have to do without Djenepo, Vestergaard, Boufal and Valery, whilst Hojbjerg should make the bench Everton who were poor on Monday night v Spurs but who have overall have been in good form, are without Mason Holgate and Alex Iwobi, Holgate is the bigger loss but Mina who is only back from injury should be an adequate replacement. I make Everton value although there is not a lot of space in terms what we can bet them off I still make them a bet -0.25 @1.86 or better for a side who despite playing 24 hours later than the Saints still may be the fresher side and a side with more motivated as well.
