I think Spurs are very short for this match but not sure I can bet Palace giving their results of late even though I have value on them +1, I like the under 2.75 goals in this match mainly for the following reasons. There are signs that Spurs are becoming very much a Mourinho style team and we have seen the defensive block used more since the resumption, this is a tactic where they sit very deep in a well organised defensive block with the attackers nearly defending from the front. I don’t expect Spurs to go gung-ho looking for the lead but at some stage, they will probably take the lead and if they do there won’t any great effort to push for more goals. They play a Palace side in a woeful run of form; they have lost their last 7 games but they are a fairly solid side defensively when playing at home and have only conceded 19 goals in 18 home games this season. Palace‘s big weakness is scoring goals they have Zaha & Ayew upfront and that is where their goals seem to come from, combined they have scored only 11 goals this season. I think Spurs will win this but at the odds, they can’t be backed in my opinion, don’t forget this is a Spurs side who failed to have a shot on target against Bournemouth, something that had not happened since 2015. All in all, I believe there is some real value in the under 2.75 goals, Palace matches have averaged just 2.14 goals this season and only 11 of their 37 games have featured 3 goals or more and only 6 have featured 4 goals or more, betting the unders.
