Burnley vs Everton
I am betting Burnley here +0.5 at home to a Everton side who are missing 2 very important players in Digne and Coleman both their attacking full backs and both are huge losses. In addition, Burnley will welcome back goalkeeper Nick Pope who was massively missed last weekend at City. Everton’s xG has been high the last couple of games but that is as much down to the teams they were playing rather than Eerton, they recorded an xG of just 0.29 v Southampton, 1.22 away to Newcastle and 0.38 at home to United, so less than 2 goals in in 3 games and if you want to add in the Leeds and the 2nd half of the Fulham match into is only 3.36 expected goals in 4.5 games, there would nto be too many teas in the league recording a lower xG in their last 4.5 games without playing really any of the top performing teams (Sorry United fans). Betting Burnley they have a lot in their favour today.