Burnley have scored 3 goals in their 5 matches this season but the expected chances hey created does not put them much higher believing that they should only have scored 4 goals from the chance created/positioning of their efforts. Chelsea has scored 13 but according to the xG, they should only have scored 9 goals this season. Burnley defended very well v Spurs on Monday and I think we will see more of the same v Chelsea, Chelsea should also have conceded less and Kepa being replaced by Mendy should also be a positive for them defensively. Betting the under.