Aston Villa vs Luton Town
I am betting under 3.25 goals scored here, Villa have been flying especially at home but they are gong to find a blanket defence when they face Luton today a team that will try and come to nick a point. Interestingly looking at their xG Villa have scored more goals than their chances suggest they should have, scoring a whopping 7 goals more at home than what the xG suggest they should have. Luton will not offer a lot going forward and it must be said they were fortunate to get a point against Forest last week but they are capable of frustrating a potentially tired Villa team who played only on Thursday night in Europe in the Netherlands.