I am betting the under 2.75 goals here today, Jamie Vardy is a serious doubt for the visitors, Leicester has scored 12 goals this season but according to the expected goals charts they should have scored about 8 and they should have conceded less as well about 6 goals. They are scoreless in their last 2 league matches and their xG score is only 1.13 expected goals in both matches combined. Arsenal themselves look more of a unit this season and they defended very well away at Manchester City, I think Leicester will set up to play on the counter and could result in Arsenal themselves sitting slightly deeper so Leicester is unable to counter-attack on them. I think this points to a low scoring, tight game and I think the under 2.75 goals bet is value, especially with Jamie Vardy, rated a doubt, so betting the unders.
