I am betting the Netherlands here +0.5, I think Italy are the better team but I think they have a very little invention in the team and if the Dutch can score the +0.5 bet on them could be very difficult to beat. The Dutch are playing below themselves for the players in their squad and you get the feeling sooner or later they will get it right, while Italy are probably playing close to the zenith of their ability so betting the Netherlands +0.5
Netherlands +0.50 min odds 1.83