The Copa America final takes place tonight and it’s a rematch of the Brazil v Peru match from the group stages where Brazil ran out 6-0 winners with the Expected goals reading as Brazil 4.13 v Peru 0.29. Brazil was certainly flattered by that result but it must be said I am scratching my head as to how Peru has got to the final. In the semifinal Peru played Chile and Chile really killed themselves in the semifinal and even then they had more than enough chances to get back into the game, while in the quarter-final Uruguay had 3 goals disallowed by Var, Peru also recorded one of the lowest expected goals counts I have ever seen in a football match with just 0.01. I think They find it difficult to defend especially from corners and I think Brazil can win this match covering the handicap I also think the overs is a bet Peru are an attacking team and they will give Brazil plenty of chances, Brazil can get the overs on their own and the current price is 2.03 for over 2.5 goals is more than fair.