I am betting unders here today, the line is 3.25 and with Borussia Dortmund‘s star striker Haland missing through injury we could see Dortmund struggle up top more than many expect. For one of the top sides, they do struggle to create but their conversion rate for Goals to Chances is out of this world meaning they tend to score a lot of the chances they create, they are so clinical it would lend me to believe they are scoring more than they should and it near impossible for it to keep the high level of conversion up. They have scored a whopping 8 more goals than they should have to look at their chances away from home this season and overall 21.3 goals higher on actual than expected overall. Paderborn is leaky at the back as can be expected from a team at the bottom although their actual goals conceded is higher than their expected goals conceded, going forward they’re poor averaging just over a goal a game at home scored, both on the actual and expected charts. I think no matter how we look at this 3.25 is a high goal line for this match, I think it should be 3 and think this is worth a go especially with Haland missing for Dortmund.