Independiente celebrated a single win in their last five league matches (drawing one and losing three) after a devastating 3-0 away defeat to River Plate two weeks ago in one of their worst games this season. As a result of that negative run, El Rojo has dropped down to the ninth spot of the league table on 32 points. Independiente booked two wins, one draw and one defeat at Libertadores de America Stadium in 2019.
Velez Sarsfield beat fourth-placed Atletico Tucuman 2-0 at home thanks to goals from Agustin Bouzat and Pablo Galdames, which allowed them to keep a tiny possibility of qualifying for the next Copa Libertadores. Having lost only one of their last six league games (two wins, three draws), El Fortin is currently sitting in sixth on 37 points, five behind River Plate in fourth. On away turf, Velez is on six games unbeaten, with three successes and three stalemates.
Velez Sarsfield seems the better side here and they have been improving on the road so I expect them to take something from this game.
BET: Velez +0.25 @ 1.84