I was impressed with South Africa in the last round the way the played v hosts Egypt, they sat in and countered on them and Egypt fell for it, South Africa will attempt to play the same way today but Nigeria won’t come on to them the same manner Egypt did so this could be a game that boils down to a set-piece. Nigeria has shown they have players who can score, they were ordinary in the group stages but they showed v Cameroon they have the firepower to score and with the line of just -0.25 I think it’s a value bet at 1.8 or better. I don’t believe we can say the same for South Africa who will probably be happy to try and take this to penalties, Nigeria 1-0 or maybe 2-0 for me.