Iran vs USA
I am betting Iran here +0.5 a point should mean they progress and I can see them sitting up in a low block formation and to try and counter attack on the States. Ignoring the English game as a bit of anomality, Iran have been excellent defensively, both in their qualification games and again v Wales, the goal line is only 2 so +0.5 feels like a big handicap when goals are predicted to be this low and I make Iran a value bet +0.5.