I am betting Newcastle +0.5 when they host Arsenal in the 2^nd leg of the league cup semi final tonight, Newcastle won the first leg in London 2-0 and I believe it is pretty simple how Newcastle set up tomorrow, they will look to defend and hit Arsenal on the counter. I have value on Newcastle +0.5 and with close to a full team I am betting Newcastle +0.5 who have the players to hurt Arsenal on the break, I am also betting under 2.75 goals, I think this will a low scoring game with Newcastle not having to force the issue and being able to sit back and try and catch Arsenal on the break, Arsenal despite scoring 5 goals at the weekend v Manchester City on Sunday have question marks over their ability to create chances in games and I think it lends itself to an under type of game.