Swansea City vs Nottingham Forest

I am betting Nottingham Forest here +0.5, Swansea is a very solid side, extremely well organised but I don’t believe their league position accurately reflects their strength as a team and in turn where they should be in the league and the reverse can be argued for Forest. Having a look at the Expected goals tables and charts Swansea are ranked the 13th overall team in the league, they should have scored 4 goals less and conceded a whopping 14 goals extra, Forest are rated 9th best and should have scored 9 more goals and conceded 5 few goals, I think +0.5 for Forest is too good to turn down, they were well beaten in a recent cup match v Swansea but I think Forest will be keen to gain some revenge here and i make them value +0.5.

Nottingham Forest +0.5 min odds 1.86