I think there are a number of teams very short going into today’s matches and I am starting with Brentford, they have huge incentive today but they also have most of the pressure on them heading into this match as well. Stoke are a better side than their league position suggests they are on the expected goals tables I use one has them 4th best side in the league and the other has them 5th, the hat may be slightly inflated but I think it certainly shows they are a better team than a team normally associated with their league position would be. I think Stoke +1 is a bet, a point is not a bad result for Brentford they know that 4 points are almost certain to see them promoted, so this is more of a do not lose and I think this may be a more of a cagey game than many expect to see, we backed Stoke away at Leeds and to be fair up until they needlessly give away a penalty on the stroke of half time they had Stoke will be marshalled that day so giving them another chance today in a game they still have motivation in.
