Championship: Brentford vs Swansea City Odds for July 29, 2020

I am betting the overs here in tonight’s Championship playoff semi-final 2nd leg, the first leg finished 1-0 to Swansea but I can’t see this match being that low scoring with Brentford having to attack to get back into the game. Looking over the course of the season both these teams have averaged 2.5 and 2.57 goals in their matches and 23 from 46 of both team’s matches had 3 goals or more in them, however, when you look at Brentford’s home games, these games have featured a higher average of 2.69 goals and likewise Swansea’s away matches have seen even more goals with those games having 2.82 an average. The nature of 2nd legged matches is usually far more open and I think Swansea will struggle to keep a clean sheet on the road, their numbers are not good on the expected goals against charts where they concede an average a large 1.68 expected goals against, they will take hope from how Barnsley did recently at Griffin Park though but they know it will be an ask to keep the Brentford attack quiet. Overall I think this looks set to be a fun match so betting the over 2.5 goals with current odds being 1.95.

Over 2.5 goals scored min odds 1.90