The first of the neutral venue Champions league matches take place tonight in Portugal and we should have a cracker, it brings together Atalanta who create the most chances and score the most goals in the Italian league, looking at the expected goals tables from Aerie A they are the best team in Italy. Paris is a long way ahead of any other side in France as you would expect, their games average 3.67 goals per match in the French first division while Atalanta’s games in Italy average over 3.8, these are 2 of the most attacking sides in European football and even with Mbappe injured this game should be packed full of goals, so I make the over 3 goals a bet at 1.80 or better. I am also going to bet Atalanta +0.5 the current odds are 2.04, that is too big for me, I think there is about 0.4 of a goal between the sides and while I hate betting the underdog and over goals, I will make an exception the very odd time and this is one of those times.
