Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
I am betting over 2.5, Leverkusen matches are always very open with chances for both teams and usually goals for both teams, they raced into a 2 goal lead against Hoffenheim midweek only to allow the visitors to come back and level 2-2. Leverkusen’s matches average a massive 4.06 goals per match this season, Freiburg’s are lower with 2.56 but for me i just can’t pass on a goal line as low as 2.5 with Leverkusen in it. Freiburg’s matches are usually lower scoring which is not surprising and prior to their 0-0 draw against Union Berlin in midweek 5 of their last 6 had at least 3 goals in them. Even Freiburg’s game v Union should have had goals in it, the xG afterwards was 2.25 v 1.22, so there was plenty of chances for both teams. I think this should be a open match and I think there is great value in betting over 2.5 goals.