Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig
The big game in Germany today is Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig and i am betting under 3.5 goals here, I wanted to bet RB Leipzig +1.25 but the odds have been slashed this morning so i am just betting the under goals. I think Bayern are not the same team they were last season, Thiago is a massive loss and they have injuries to other good players that make a difference. The expected goals table shows they have scored 9 goals more than they should have scored from chances created, their last couple of games should not have featured as many goals as they have and none of their last 4 should have featured more than 3 and their last big match v Dortmund played a lot tighter than the 3-2 win Bayern managed and Dortmund should never have lost that match. Chancing the under 3.5 goals in this match as i believe it is value.