Arminia Bielefeld vs Mainz
I am betting Mainz, they were awesome last week v Augsburg winning 4-1 and in truth could have won by more and I fancy them to have too much against Bielefeld who have the 2nd worst xG in the whole of the Bundesliga and the worst expected points in the league. Both sides pretty much have full teams and -0.25 is just too good a line to pass up on Mainz away to a poor team like Bielefeld.