I am betting Aston Villa here +0.75, Villa at home are very difficult, they are an amazing run of form of having won 13 consecutive league matches in a row and while that form has to come to an end at some stage they are value at the odds to get something from this especially with City missing key midfielder Rodri as well as winger Jack Grealish.  There is a vulnerable feel to City tonight +0.75 for a team that has won their last 13 matches at home feels like a no brainer against a City team who are not really firing this season.