Olimpia (Paraguay) vs Fluminense (Brazil)
Olimpia have a mountain to climb if they want to reach the Copa Libertadores’ top four for the first time since 2013, having lost to Fluminense 2-0 away in the first leg of the quarter-finals. On Sunday, the team managed to beat Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 away to make it three victories and two draws across the last six competitive matches (along with two draws and one loss). El Decano are currently producing a poor campaign in the Paraguayan Torneo Clausura, having collected nine points in eight games so far. At home, Olimpia are on three games unbeaten, winning two and drawing one in that spell.
Fluminense took the first step towards the semi-finals last Thursday, when they beat Olimpia 2-0 at home thanks to goals from Andre and German Cano and the team will advance even in the event of losing by a one-goal margin in the return leg. On Sunday, O Tricolor drew 2-2 away at Athletico Paranaense to make it three competitive matches unbeaten (two victories and one draw). Speaking of the league, Fernando Diniz’s men are occupying fifth spot on 35 points. On a sorry note, Fluminense are on 11 games without a win on away turf, drawing three and losing eight since beating Cruzeiro 2-0 in May.
Olimpia has no choice but to go all in in attack to cut the 2 goals difference and win by as much as possible so I’ll go here with the over because Fluminense can hurt them on counters with their great attack.