Italy vs Germany
Italy have named a number of uncapped players in their squad for this match, no doubt they will be weaker but they were so poor at Wembley v Argentina that maybe some fresh faces will be a help to them. I think any Italy side getting +0.25 at home is too tempting to pass up for me and that fact they are playing their old foes Germany will mean they will be sure that they will want to avoid defeat, so betting Italy +0.25.